Free Player Lab TrialBasketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
Daily Fantasy Basketball Injury News and Updates for FanDuel and DraftKings - 3/1/16
Welcome to the daily updates and injury news article. We'll try and update it right up to line-up locks with as much information as comes across our desks. Let's get to it!
Last night's picks can be found here, so you can wrap your mind around what you need to be looking at before lineups lock tonight.
By the way - we keep our projection system updated with all of the changes as they occur throughout the day right up until lineup lock. Every day. If you want access to that system so you can cut out a lot of the research element, click the button below!
Special Note: Our new optimizer is available! Click the button below to check it out and see if it's right for you.
Now let’s look at some news that’s come in throughout the day to see if anything’s changed in our minds or in the NBA landscape. It's a shorter slate and a light news day, but we'll be updating as stuff rolls in. Also throw out some ideas in the comments and we can take it from there.
What We Know
Alex Len is starting.
Earl Watson has come out publicly and said the Suns are going to "try something new" with a twin-towers approach of Len and Chandler. Knowing this, Len is a must play until he's something like $6,000 on DraftKings and FanDuel. Love him tonight.
Kobe is out, and we're bumping D'Angelo Russell, Anthony Brown, and Julius Randle
Russell looks to be the biggest beneficiary, boasting a gaudy 27.8% usage with Bryant off the floor this season. Anthony Brown played 32 minutes in his first game back (with Kobe out), and Julius Randle sees a 10% usage bump as well with Kobe off the floor. Basically, this makes every Laker who you can project for reasonable playing time a nice play, since they'll spread around 30 minutes and 30% of the usage during those minutes.
What We're Waiting to Know
Stephen Curry - Will his ankle hold him out?
Easily the biggest shoe to drop tonight, for obvious reasons. Redistributing 32% usage and 34 minutes is huge, and the primary Warriors benefactors will be Klay Thompson (whose usage rises to 30 with Curry off the court), and Shaun Livingston, who would likely play a starter's minutes. It has the domino effect of making the game a lot less likely to be a blowout, which is a boon to the projections of everyone involved. For now, I'm operating under the assumption that he's playing, but I'll be cautious until we know for sure (if we ever do).
Andre Iguodala's status
Normally I'd list two guys on the same team in the same write-up, but Steph just impacts too much to lump him in with others. Iggy is a little different. The most dramatic benefactor his absence would be Harrison Barnes, whom the system already likes. If Curry and Iggy are BOTH out, Barnes becomes a phenomenal play.
Evan Fournier - in or out?
Fournier is highly doubtful for now, and both Oladipo and Hezonja were terrific values in his absence. I'd be happy to roll it back with both for tonight's slate in any format.
Will Derrick Rose return?
Reports are that he will likely be back. If so, this should depress the value of all of the guys on the Bulls, who are enjoying his absence quite a bit. I wouldn't touch him personally, as one never knows what will happen when a guy returns from injury. Tony Snell takes the biggest hit here, which is nice, since he was a non-entity anyway.
Wayne Ellington - How will his concussion symptoms effect Tuesday?
He was looking like a terrific play until he left last night's game with concussion-like symptoms. I'm assuming he'll miss this one, which will open it up for Bojan Bogdanovic and Markel Brown. I like Bojan much better, if you're choosing between them.
Arron Afflalo's status
Still being listed as questionable, and I'd love to grab Galloway if he's going to play starter's minutes again. Afflalo went through shootaround, though, so I'm assuming he'll be out there.
The "Every Lineup" Guys
Alex Len - FD 5200 DK 5200
Opponent - CHA
FD Proj. Pts - 28.83 DK Proj. Pts - 29.34
No surprise here. Price and opportunity mismatch. Easy play against a less than tough defensive front-court in Charlotte.
Victor Oladipo - FD 7000 DK 7200
Opponent - DAL
FD Proj. Pts - 35.04 DK Proj. Pts - 36.53
Another no-brainer if Fournier is out. Oladipo played more minutes and had more opportunity with those minutes in Fournier's absence last game, and since that looks to be the case again tonight, Oladipo would be a play almost regardless of match-up once again.
Carmelo Anthony - FD 8900 DK 8500
Opponent - POR
FD Proj. Pts - 41.01 DK Proj. Pts - 43.07
Lots of minutes and shots for him, a weak position tonight, and not a lot of places to spend up tonight. This surprises me a little bit since I personally like a few other bigger money guys better, but that's the power of optimization! Let's us know where to spend up, and where to go cheap.
Good luck out there today! If you want access to all of our numbers, get started with a free trial below - on us! You can also get started with DFSR pro - our brand new lineup optimizer!
image sources
- Stephen Curry: (AP Photo/Ben Margot)
41 Visitor Comments
Post a Reply
You must be logged in to post a comment.
FREE EBOOK
SECRETS TO CRUSHING DAILY FANTASY FOOTBALL!DON'T SET ANOTHER LINEUP BEFORE YOU READ THIS BOOK.
Let’s not rule out Robin Lopez for a possible big game. Look at portlands last 10 games DvP…..the minutes have to be there though
I’m not ruling out Lopez, but be careful with 10 game DVP. Portland’s had a tough stretch, there. Good Dwight 3 times, Brook Lopez, KAT, Gobert, Pau, Mahinmi, Valancunias, Marc Gasol. Still a nice match-up.
Love the slate tonight for cash games. I need a win after last night. I was trailing in all my leagues by 7-10 points and get this, Ellington was 1-3% owned all over fan duel cash games i was playing in. It was looking awesome and then bam. He gets his head knocked around a bit. Ah well bad luck. Tonight I’m gonna nail this. Thx James. You’re better and better all the time man. Keep it up. Glad I found the site
kobe bryant is out. d russell and randle benefit the most from this? thanks.
Nice catch, Bret – updated article above!
I actually think whiteside is a better cash game play then len…thought?
Whiteside’s a good play, but I don’t personally have the stomach to play guys in cash games whose minutes range from 26 to 41. Almost necessarily means they aren’t properly priced. Whiteside’s way overpriced for 26 minutes, and way underpriced for 41. Just not sure which version you’ll get tonight. And Len is just so damned cheap.
Perfect update! I think Alex Len is going to go B-A-N-A-N-A-S (yea, I’m a Gwen Stefani fan, we can’t all be perfect!) What’s your thoughts on Bogdanovic? If Ellington is out, does that solidify him even more? Great price tag and minutes even if Ellington plays.
So what do you think about Clarksons value in scoring raw points tonight with Kobe being out and I think he has the best matchup of all the lakers
I second the Clarkson mention, Alonzo. He looks like a heck of a value at $6k FD, with Kobe down. How does his usage change when Kobe is down?
Rolling the dice with David Lee in cash games… Thoughts?
It’s risky mostly because there are so many cheaper options tonight.
I should say, that is on FD. Risk is more tolerable on DK where he’s cheaper.
Thoughts on teletovic? Can we project 7x value again?
I don’t think so if they are committing to Len at the four.
I’m not taking Clarkson. He may end up being a good play but his price has crept up to where for my system I would need 30fp floor on fanduel. Not sure I trust that even with Kobe out because usage stats tell me Williams usually gets the bump. Plus Russell starting cuts into everyones usage. As always stats are stats and can lie 🙂 but sticking to my system.
Pro tip… Noticed FanDuel has been a little wonky today. Make sure you set those lineups early enough.
I agree here. I bumped Clarkson’s minutes and usage and he’s still not a top play in system. He’s up there for sure.
And thanks for the heads up on FD. Haven’t seen any issues yet, but will keep a lookout.
Safe to fade Galloway. Knicks just announced Arron Afflalo starting.
FYI
Bryant Off Court Usage Rate
Lou Williams 22.6% 27.0%
D’Angelo Russell 23.7% 26.4%
Jordan Clarkson 22.8% 25.7%
Julius Randle 22.3% 25.7%
Yup solid. I was querying this before and adjusted usages accordingly in system.
Is it worth dropping whiteside and Barnes for Thompson and teletovic? I have Len.
Such an odd night. LOTS of cheap plays but then hard to find spots to spend the money on imo 🙂 Curry probably would have been 75% owned tonight if he was playing.
Spending money is the biggest issue. Totally agree on the Curry thing. Just need to get money in. Melo a big start for same reason tonight I think.
Melo makes me nervous. Aminu has been shutting guys down here lately. Although shutting Melo “down” still might pay 4.5xfp on FanDuel and got to get the points somewhere tonight 🙂
PG Kemba Walker CHR $8,200 48%
PG Damian Lillard POR $9,300 45%
SG Klay Thompson GS $7,200 45%
SG Kyle Korver ATL $3,700 0.5%
SF Kent Bazemore ATL $4,700 5.2%
SF Bojan Bogdanovic BKN $3,500 31%
PF Aaron Gordon ORL $6,500 47%
PF Draymond Green GS $8,400 37%
C Brook Lopez BKN $8,400 21%
screw the lakers!! boy if youre right about korver 😉
Is Oladipo a must play on Draftkings? Or would Lou Williams be a solid replacement where I could spend up somewhere else?
Is anyone allowing themselves to run Lee in cash games? He allows so much room for flexibility, but not sure if I’m ready to plug him in as anything other than a GPP.
That’s for a cash lineup. Thanks.
Good luck to everyone tonight. I ended up rolling the “all hope the other guys don’t play in the late games lineup”
i love fd bc if youre smart with your picks you beat the competition…..FD players love the last 30 min before lock bc this is where the smart and good players gain an edge above the rest that make the mistake and make a lineup before any news has surfaced…hence why this page exists!!!! To help with those last second confirmed starts! This page alone has helped me along with others cash in.
Love these guys!
Curry will play I have a feeling
Curry news at 7:02. The main reason why I play DK
Curry and Iggy out
http://247sports.com/Bolt/Stephen-Curry-Andre-Iguodala-to-miss-tonights-game-44027221
Livingston, Barnes, barbosa?
just curious about the curry on DK. so did you roster em and then look to pivot down if he didn’t play? its a lot of salary is why I ask.
wow phoenix is a piece of garbage
Oladipo totally killed all my line ups tonight
Im on Clarkson and D’Angelo in all my cash tonight. We will see how it works out. D’Angelo has recorded a team-high usage of 27.0 w/ Bryant not on the floor. Additionally per my own tracking, Jordan Clarkson’s usage rate is also 25.0 which is the 2nd highest for the Lakers. The Nets also allow 1.5 points above salary for the point and a little more for off ball guards. Not in love with it, just what I decided on.
*w/o bryant
Rollin on 280$ in winnings it’s only halftime 240.5 fantasy with Barnes draymond Randle and Russell in halftime
I took kemba, hezonja sucked, Barnes, Randle, whiteside, Russell, draymond, Len
two nights in a row SG killed me. Barton last night and Dipo tonight.
although if I could get a little double OT in the GS/ATL game might sneak into the money at the wire 🙂