Welcome back to our newest addition to the DFSR family, CBB picks! CBB is different than the NBA in terms of lineup building and strategy, so if you've got any questions about these picks or CBB in general, please comment at the bottom of this article. Tonight there is a solid seven game slate, so we're going to take a look at the best value plays of the night.
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Gary Payton II
FD - 9800 DK - 9900
My favorite high priced guy for tonight in terms of PPD and safety has to be Gary Payton II of Oregon State. Payton II has been a model of consistency this season and has been rather hot lately, scoring over 35 FD points in 3 straight games. Oregon State should have no trouble putting up points in this one as UCLA has a scoring defense that ranks 272nd in the nation. They rely heavily on Payton II to run the offense, so I expect him to have a big game in this one.
Brice Johnson
FD - 9700 DK - 10000
Johnson doesn’t quite have the safety that Payton II has, but his upside is definitely higher. His last game against Duke he had a monster 29 point, 19 rebound explosion, and while I don’t think he’s likely to repeat that stat-line, I wouldn’t be surprised to see something close to that. This game has a massive O/U and an incredibly close spread so the opportunity to put up big numbers will be there. Duke doesn’t have anyone who can match up with Johnson so I could see this being a big one.
Brandon Ingram
FD - 8800 DK - 9200
Another guy that I really like from the Duke-UNC game tonight is Brandon Ingram. His price has dropped a little bit over the past week, so buying low on a guy with this much upside could have huge payoffs. His last game @ UNC all the freshman did was drop a 20 point, 10 rebound double-double in route to a 43 point FD game. I’ve already mentioned the massive O/U in this one so I won’t spend much time on that but Ingram should have the opportunity to stuff the stat sheet in this one.
Tyrone Wallace
FD - 7500 DK - 8100
My favorite mid-priced guy on the late slate is Tyrone Wallace of Cal. Now I know he’s coming off a dud of a game against Arizona his last time out, but I fully expect him to rebound against a putrid Arizona State defense. Up until his last game, Wallace had been one of the nations best performers on the road, scoring higher than 27 FD points in his previous 4 road games before the Arizona game. Cal relies on this guy to set up their offense so I fully expect a nice bounce-back game in this one.
Ivan Rabb
FD - 7500 DK - 7400
Rabb is another guy from Cal who has really come into his own over the past couple of weeks. The freshman has scored in double figures in his last 4 games, and he’s been a beast on the boards for pretty much the entire season (averaging 8.5 rpg on the season). He’s coming off of two straight double-doubles against weak Pac-12 defenses, and Arizona State certainly meets the criteria of being a weak Pac-12 defense. I’m thinking after this one it’ll be 3 straight double-doubles, so I’m going to have Rabb in my lineups tonight.
Marcus Paige
FD - 6300 DK - 6900
I recommend Marcus Paige with a lot of reservation because he’s been a shell of himself for the entire season now. I’m not sure it can be considered a slump anymore, but Paige is certainly priced miles below what he has the potential to do. At these prices, against an in-state rival, in a game that should be the highest scoring on the slate, I’m inclined to take a chance on him. I’ll likely have him in the majority of my lineups because his price is so low that he doesn’t need to have a great game to hit a decent value. I don’t love him from a safety perspective, but the upside is undeniable.
Matt Jones
FD - 4900 DK - 5600
Jones is a guy I really like from a value perspective given that his price was trending up before he suffered an ankle injury versus UNC a few weeks back. Since he’s returned, he’s hit over x4 value in 2 of his three games, and I fully expect him to reach that mark in this rematch with UNC. This game should be an up and down affair and Duke will need Jones’ ability to stretch the floor against a UNC defense that struggles to close out on 3’s.
Isaiah Wilkins
FD - 4700 DK - 4700
To be perfectly honest, I hate this matchup against Louisville (one of the better defenses in the country), but I just have a feeling that Wilkins is going to have a good one tonight. He’s not really a safe pick so I’ll probably only play him in tournaments, but Virginia is going to need him to play well in order to beat Louisville. One thing Wilkins has going for him in this one is that he’s reached x4 value in his last 3 home games, so the potential is definitely there. If Tony Bennett gives him the minutes I expect him to give, Wilkins should have a good enough game to hit value.
Consider Isaiah Hicks of UNC, but I don’t like him that much since they’ve got so much depth in the frontcourt.
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