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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

04/22/2016
Nick Giglio

Daily Fantasy Baseball News and Updates for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/22/2016

Welcome to the daily MLB updates and news article. We'll try and update it right up to line-up locks with as much information as comes across our desks. Let's get to it!

Last night's picks can be found here, so you can wrap your mind around what you need to be looking at before lineups lock today.
By the way - we keep our projection system updated with all of the batting lineup changes as they occur throughout the day right up until lineup lock. Every day. If you want access to that system so you can cut out a lot of the research element, click the button below!

What We Know

Today's DFS Baseball slate is wide open in my eyes. With a full slate of action that I believe to be an extremely high scoring day based off of the pitching matchups. There are some weather concerns out there looming for sure. In particular, the Cubs/ Reds game has some rain issues which could be a real shame considering I love stacking the Cubs today. I'm no weather man, but the chance of rain seems to decrease as the evening goes on. But right now it's got that scary yellow tag in our weather feed.

The A's/ Yankees have the same tag but that looks like the rain chances increase as the evening goes on.

DFSR 705x90

Tournament Stacks

Los Angeles Dodgers
Could we get anymore obvious here? They are entering Coors and the launchpad that the Denver altitude provides. Where the sites typically massively price correct on account of the increased park factors, they haven't done it AS much this time around. Guys like Joc, Seager, Puig and Utley are still coming at reasonable prices considering the projected over/under on this one.

Chicago Cubs
You are seeing a lot of Cubs coming in as value plays because of the ballpark and the opposing pitcher. I'll outline it a little more with Heyward below, but Jon Moscot has been pretty horrendous in his major league tenure and doesn't project to get much better. The Cubs are coming at a discount compared to the Rockies above.

Tampa Bay Rays
This one is a bit sneakier. They are going in a great hitter's park in Yankee Stadium and have stacked righty hitters up and down the lineup against Sabathia. CC is well past his prime and was slaughtered by righty hitting this season. The Rays guys like Forsythe, Guyer, Longoria, Jennings and Pearce are all pretty extreme platoon splits guys. And they are all coming very cheap.

 

Sneaky Pitcher

Jeff SamardzijaJeff Samardzija FD 8400 DK 9300
Opponent - MIA (Cosart) Park - @SF
FD - 37.96 DK - 20.27
To avoid looking like a complete fool in this post, I would love for this to be true. There are a couple of things to like about him today as a GPP play. He's got a great park that definitely suppresses power all around. And while the top of the Marlins' lineup is somewhat formidable, it really drops off after the top four. He's a -165 going into the game which bodes well for his win expectancy.

 

The "Every Lineup" Guys

Matt HarveyMatt Harvey FD 9800 DK 10300
Opponent - ATL (Norris) Park - @ATL
FD - 41.83 DK - 23.26
Pitching isn't coming at a huge premium today thanks in large part to there being a ton of bats we can target. It's nice that Harvey isn't priced in the stratosphere and has a fantastic matchup against the Braves. The weather has me somewhat concerned there, but he's a big -180 favorite. I'm a little put off by his early season peripherals but if there is a time to break out of the funk it's against the Braves who struggle with power.

Jason HeywardJason Heyward FD 3300 DK 4300
Opponent - CIN (Moscot) Park - @CIN
FD - 14.07 DK - 11.12
We know the popular plays are coming out of Coors today and that makes sense. But I think Heyward represents just a bit of a discount in almost as advantageous situation. He’s facing a very weak arm in Jon Moscot who’s been pretty brutal in his roughly 16 Major league innings. Heyward hitting second in Great American Ballpark (another hitter’s launchpad) is coming just those couple hundred dollars cheaper across the board than the inflated prices in Coors.

 

One other note: There are big differences between DraftKings and FanDuel pricing so the optimal lineups are looking quite different.
These are players that show up in each of the top 10 lineups as produced by our lineup optimizer. This doesn't necessarily mean that they're "safe," it just means that their projected weighted-mean point total is a solid building block for a great lineup foundation today.
Good luck out there today! If you want access to all of our numbers, get started with a free trial below of our lineup optimizer, on us!

12 Visitor Comments

  1. Thanks for fixing the stack line-up filter for the optimal line-ups! It is working great!!

  2. No King Felix today he’s been scratched it’s Iwakuma instead kinda makes Angel bats plus Tropeano more attractive…thoughts?

    • I think Trout is definitely a play now at 4800…not often he is under 5K on DK.

  3. Was thinking the same thing Anthony I’m sure his price was based on the King Felix matchup but vs Iwakuma at sub 5k could easily see him being in a lot of top lineups

  4. Washington weather looks very questionable.

  5. Gonna run cespedes over heyward. Heyward’s not been great sofar. but will keep him on a few

    • I’m staying the course with Heyward. BB’s up. Babip down. LD% up and Hr/FB at 0.0% meaning he’s possibly running bad there too.

  6. Also Matt moore, the yankees offense has sucked for awhile now. Left hander as well, worst case scenario the yankees win, and i won’t complain about that~ Does reverse psychology work for fantasy baseball? 🙂

  7. But he made it serviceable. Looks like another break even day for me. Unless i catch some breaks, which could go either way

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