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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

06/22/2016
Nick Rodriguez

Daily Fantasy MLB Long Ball Targets for FanDuel and DraftKings- 6/22/16

Welcome to our new daily article breaking down some of our top targets to go yard on this slate. We covered our system's top value plays in our daily picks article but here we will look at guys that have the best chances to hit one into the seats! Let us know what you think, comment below!

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Long Ball Targets

Chris DavisChris Davis FD 4200 DK 5100
Opponent - SD (Johnson) Park - @BAL
FD - 11.83 DK - 8.81

The crystal ball has spoken -- and this is what it had to say: Crush Davis + Erik Johnson = Dinger. It didn't give me any explanations, it just simply gave me that formula, so I will go ahead and back it up.

We all know Chris Davis has tremendous power. This isn't a big secret or anything. He is coming into tonight's contest sporting a .256 ISO vs. right-handers to go along with a .365 wOBA. The best part about this matchup isn't Davis' power vs. righties, but rather Johnson's struggles vs. lefties.

On the year, left-handed bats own a .392 wOBA and .646 SLG against Johnson (ouch). They have devoured him this season and moving from spacious Petco Park to hitter-friendly Camden Yards, won't help the 26-year-old. Look for Davis to "Crush" one into the stands.

Mark TrumboMark Trumbo FD 3800 DK 4200
Opponent - SD (Johnson) Park - @BAL
FD - 9.64 DK - 7.36

Sorry, Erik Johnson, I just see you having a rough time moving to a hitter-friendly park. Not only will Chris Davis do yard work, but Mark Trumbo will be joining him as well.

I mentioned how bad Johsnon was against lefties, but he's just as bad against righties. On the year, they own .526 wOBA to go along with a .841 SLG. He's only had a few starts under his belt so the sample size isn't as big as you'd like, but I still love Davis and Trumbo today.

I know Trumbo is in a slump right now, but look for him to snap out of it tonight. He is one of those guys that has reversed splits (.383 wOBA and .242 ISO against righties on the year), so don't worry and trust the guy who has a masters degree in Longballology. Look for Trumbo to hit a Trumb-Bomb tonight.

Value Play Long Ball Target

Peter O'BrienPeter O'Brien FD 2500 DK 2900
Opponent - TOR (Happ) Park - @TOR
FD - 6.09 DK - 4.65

J.A. Happ isn't known for giving up the long ball, but I still like Peter O'Brien.

Peter O'Brien only has 33 at-bats in the big leagues, but has already showcased his power. He owns a .515 SLG to go along with four homers. O'Brien gets a favorable L/R matchup and playing in a hitter-friendly park should help him out. Like I mentioned before, Happ is more of a ground ball pitcher, but the park and spits are in O'Brien's favor, so don't be surprised if he hits one out this afternoon.

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4 Visitor Comments

  1. Hopefully Álvarez doesn’t hog all the long balls tonight and saves a few for Trumbo and Crush love the picks you been killin it with your predictions

  2. Haha I hope not either. I think he got his last nights and its some of the other Orioles’ bats turn today.

    And Goldy. Tough call

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