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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

08/14/2017
Brent Holloway

Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 8/14/17

Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.

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NEW YORK YANKEES

The Coors Field offenses will probably (and justifiably) get a lot of attention tonight -- in fact we're going to give them some attention in just a minute. But we'd have no problem pivoting off of the Braves and Rockies in favor of the Yankees tonight; they're coming moderately cheaper, and while no hitting environment can match Coors Field, the prospect of facing Rafael Montero in Yankee Stadium comes pretty close in terms of upside. Since the beginning of last season, the Mets starter has given up a .383 wOBA to lefties and a .374 wOBA and .212 ISO vs. righties, so every Yankees bat is in play. The most obvious guys are also the most attractive, however; Brett Gardner, Aaron Hicks, Aaron Judge, Didi Gregorious and Gary Sanchez all come in with a .200+ ISO and a .350+ wOBA vs. RHP this season.

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COLORADO ROCKIES

Julio Teheran's struggles vs. lefties are well-documented, and those issues have expanded to include righties in 2017. He's got a .348 wOBA and .194 ISO in the split this season, which isn't that much better than what he's done against lefties (.344 wOBA, .225 ISO). Maybe just as importantly, he relies heavily on fly ball outs, and letting opposing hitters elevate the ball is rarely a formula for success at Colorado. Based on Teheran's extended track record of lefty troubles, they're still the preferred play for us, and even though Charlie Blackmon is about as chalky as it gets under these circumstances, we can't see fading his .420 wOBA and .290 ISO vs. RHP this season. Gerardo Parra would be the next-most-obvious guy (.381 wOBA, .201 ISO), but we're intrigued by Arenado and Reynolds, too. Both have done well vs. RHP this season, especially Reynolds (.387/.248).

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DETROIT TIGERS

You might not have noticed because they've been pretty bad overall, but the Tigers have actually been excellent against LHP this season. They lead baseball in wRC+, wOBA and ISO vs. southpaws this season, and they'll get the pleasure of facing Martin Perez in Arlington, where game-time temperatures should be well into the 90s. Perez has never been great, but he's gotten by in the past by coaxing ground balls and limiting home runs. In 2017, however, both skills are declining, which has resulted in a career high 4.74 FIP and a 5.18 ERA that his worst since 2012. Meanwhile, the Tigers have five guys (Kinsler, Mahtook, Upton, Castellanos and McCann) with an ISO north of .200 vs. LHP, and three of those (Upton, Castellanso and McCann) are actually over the .300. Notably absent is Detroit stalwart Miguel Caberera. The power for Miggy has dropped significant in 2017, but batted ball data says he's also getting really unlucky; a .371 wOBA vs. LHP is nice, but it's still well below his .416 xWOBA in the split.

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