fbpx

Daily Fantasy Football Week 7 – DraftKings “To Fade, or Not to Fade. That is the Question…or is it?”

Posted by on Oct 16, 2014 in featured, Uncategorized, Weekly Fantasy Football Picks | 0 comments

Daily fantasy football picks for Week 6 - DraftKings DFSR is excited to bring you Bryce McVay. Dude knows his stuff and he'll be bringing you picks specifically for DraftKings with an emphasis on that site's scoring system and value. We are pumped to have a great new voice in the DFS landscape. Ready to make the leap and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks? Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, Draftster, and DraftKings. And now - for the next month - you can get access to our Football projection tools AND our baseball projection tools for the same price! Sick deal. Want picks for FanDuel, Draftster, and Draftday as well? Check em out. When everybody begins to “think out of the box”, the inside of the box becomes “out of the box”…let that one soak in. Hopefully I just mind-shagged a few of you with my wordplay, but believe me, I am going somewhere with this. Also, what I am about to say is going against my "fade" approach I've been preaching all year. Words of wisdom, if you aren’t adjusting your strategy, adding something new to your data, or trying to figure out how to get ahead of the competition every single week, then you’ll never see any progress. Just like you, I am trying to figure out the optimal strategy in order to produce the highest weekly scores possible. It is becoming more common for daily fantasy pundits to discuss “utilization” (the percentage at which a player is chosen in any given league). This may be obvious to some, but I’m going to establish it anyway. A player (let’s call him Player 1) with a smaller utilization rate is a better pick than one with a larger utilization rate (Player 2) given they are the same “expected” player. In other words, if Player 1 and Player 2 are the exact same play by the numbers (equivalent salary, equivalent injury probability, equivalent expected value and variance in points scored) then the tie-breaking question should be “which player will be picked LESS by my opponents?” The fantasy world refers to this strategy as “fading”. When we are not sure who will do better, it is custom to project a player’s utilization rate and default to choosing the guy who will be less played while “fading” the suspected “popular” play. I’m not disagreeing with this paradigm, I am just saying we should never get to the point of asking the question, “to fade or not to fade?” There are far better questions to ask yourself first in order to determine the better play. Here...

Read More

Daily Fantasy Football Week 6 Picks – DraftKings “Redemption”

Posted by on Oct 11, 2014 in featured, Uncategorized, Weekly Fantasy College Football Picks | 0 comments

Daily fantasy football picks for Week 6 - DraftKings DFSR is excited to bring you Bryce McVay. Dude knows his stuff and he'll be bringing you picks specifically for DraftKings with an emphasis on that site's scoring system and value. We are pumped to have a great new voice in the DFS landscape. Ready to make the leap and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks? Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, Draftster, and DraftKings. And now - for the next month - you can get access to our Football projection tools AND our baseball projection tools for the same price! Sick deal. Want picks for FanDuel, Draftster, and Draftday as well? Check em out. “44 ladies that’s me!! WOOOOOOOO Gonna’ get some cold cuts today!” (Geico Commercial gets me every time). I can only imagine the celebration Ickey Woods would be doing if he were in our position. 24 hours from the second installment of the DraftKings Millionaire Maker. I can hardly contain myself! I will admit, when watching the games on Sunday, my go-to celebration dance is not the Ickey Woods shuffle, but the Victor Cruz salsa (this goes way back to my first year of playing daily fantasy, Ramsey you know what’s up). I promised myself I wouldn’t write a giant introduction discussing strategies or the current events of the daily fantasy world and for once, I am going to keep that promise. Without further ado, here are my DraftKings week 6 daily fantasy picks (P.S. I already wrote my Thursday strategy piece and it’s a good one; so if you like my ramblings then make sure to check it out next week).   Week 6 Picks: Redemption – Take Two of the Millionaire Maker   Quarterbacks Matt Ryan $DK 8,600 I refuse to give Peyton Manning DK $9,400 his own paragraph…so I’ll just write about him under Matt Ryan’s header. Manning is the most expensive QB (again) by $400 and rightfully so. A Great matchup and essentially no running game to take away from his stat line. If you can fit his enormous salary in your lineup then I’m not going to fault you. With that said, I think Matt Ryan has an an equally good situation and is $800 less than Peyton. In Ryan’s home games this year, he is averaging 367 passing yards and 3 touchdowns. Guess where this week’s game is? Matty Ice takes on a middle of the road defense in the Chicago Bears where the Falcons are 3 point favorites with an over/under of 55! Vegas expects the Falcons to put up 29 points and...

Read More

Sleepers – Daily Fantasy Football Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and Draftster for Week 6

Posted by on Oct 11, 2014 in featured, Weekly Fantasy Football Picks | 0 comments

Sleepers - Daily Fantasy Football Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and Draftster for Week 6 Could you be luckier? We're prepared to send you a free eBook on how the pros set both daily fantasy baseball AND football lineups, free of charge! Check out the details, and get your copies now! Don't make another lineup before reading these books! Each contains crucial mistakes your competitors, and maybe you!, are making.   Ready to make the leap and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks? Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, Draftster, and DraftKings. And now - for the next month - you can get access to our Football projection tools AND our baseball projection tools for the same price! Sick deal. A peek ahead at week 6 Looking for the week 6 picks? Follow the link! I go position by position and give you whom I believe to be the best plays, dollar for dollar, for Week 6's games. This article is going to be a little bit different. Instead, I'm going to focus on particular lineup formation strategies that might help you get some separation from the field and get those value plays and sleepers that will let you spend money elsewhere while cashing in for cheap.   Sleepers Weekly disclaimer: The whole concept of a sleeper in one week fantasy football games needs to be adjusted. First of all, there's no real such thing as a "sleeper," in that you're not really going to sleep on a guy until he wakes up. What you're looking at with cheap plays are guys who are priced very reasonably who could go off if all things break right. Sniffing out the best cheap plays with upside is really the only way to have a chance in hell at taking down some of these utterly massive NFL tournaments. You'll pay up for the big names, and then hope your bargain plays pay off. That's where we come in - here are some sleepers that we love for Week 6. Andre Williams - FD 6300 DK 5400 DD 7950 DFSTR 6200 We recommended him in the main picks article for week 6, but Andre Williams is filling in for Rashad Jennings, and predictably, the various sites don't seem to understand that a system creates a back more than a back ignites a system. Don't be discouraged by Williams' poor yards per carry - the G-men have used him frequently in short yardage situations this year - and that should turn around sooner rather than later if he's the running downs back until Jennings' return. The thing you...

Read More

Daily Fantasy Football Picks Week 6 – ScoreStreak

Posted by on Oct 10, 2014 in Weekly Fantasy Football Picks | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Football Picks Week 6 - ScoreStreak Looking for our picks for traditional salary cap leagues like FanDuel, Draftster, and Draftkings? Check out our week 6 picks article, or our week 6 podcast. DFSR has partnered with ScoreStreak: a new, innovative style of DFS play. Gone is the salary finagling, mixing and matching, and hair-pulling that goes into setting lineups. ScoreStreak simplifies the process in an easy-to-use interface. Employing a prop-pick style, ScoresStreak leagues are specific outcome dependent with three categories: Total Bases, Hits, and for pitchers, Strikeouts. Check out their new promotion coming for NFL season where you can win a new Tesla! Also, new users who deposit through DFSR will get an extra $10 to play with.  And if you are new to daily fantasy football, make sure read our Free Football e-book. Also be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the MLB and NFL system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give ScoreStreak a try. You'll like it as much as we do. Now go win that Tesla!   QB Touchdowns Peyton Manning If you checked in with our week 5 scorestreak picks, you read this about Peyton Manning: A very interesting week to pick touchdowns. I'm finally admitting defeat when it comes to trying to get a 4 TD game out of Drew Brees, so I'm sliding one Peyton Manning Sr. into this spot. Here's the case: Genius Manning has had 2 weeks to prepare for a Cardinals team that is about league average against the pass and dominant against the run. With Montee Ball struggling, I think this is the week Peyton and company come out with a vintage 40 point performance where Demaryius Thomas is flexing his biceps while Peyton points to him determinedly. Is it nice to be able to read articles written by someone who can predict the future? What's that you say? I've screwed up like all of my other QB touchdown picks? Well, leave me alone. Where was I? Right. Touchdowns. Basically nothing has changed for Manning this week. Montee Ball got injured, presumably making the Denver rushing game less enticing, and the Jets are put together much in the same way the Cardinals are defensively. Back to back huge games from Manning here - count on it. Jay Cutler The second QB slot was a lot trickier, for me. I turn to Cutler because he's up against the porous Atlanta defense, but there's actually more to it than that. The Bears have thrown the ball in the red zone a staggering 75% of the time they've been down there this season, and Forte's usage in the passing game seems to be essentially replacing the Chicago run game. With 2 great...

Read More

Daily Fantasy Football Picks for Week 6 – Draftster

Posted by on Oct 10, 2014 in Weekly Fantasy Football Picks | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Football Picks for Week 6 - Draftster Welcome, Draftster fans! If you haven't heard of Draftster yet, you're in luck. They're a forward thinking player in this space, and we think they're destined to make some huge waves. They also have a couple thousand bucks in freerolls every week, and they're still small enough that you can get in on the ground floor. And for DFSR users, they're prepared to offer you a no-strings attached $5 voucher for one of their games. Click the banner below to get involved!   Ready to make the leap and get access to the exclusive projection system that produces these picks? Sign up now and get a free 3 day trial to our lineup construction tool for FanDuel, Draftster, and DraftKings. And now - for the next month - you can get access to our Football projection tools AND our baseball projection tools for the same price! Sick deal. We have our general picks for Week 6. This piece will examine some Draftster-specific value as this site tends to quickly adjust prices quickly and severely. This is great news for you as identifying players who are priced as punts is a money-making venture for you. Here we go. Quarterbacks Matthew Stafford - $6400 Stafford is the 14th most expensive quarterback on Draftster. Even without Megatron this is probably a mistake. Last week against an above average Buffalo D (slightly below average against the pass) Stafford managed 230 and a touch which isn't great of course, but the case for Stafford, as with many of the guys in this piece isn't so much the superlatives, but rather the price. Essentially you are getting a QB who will put the ball in the air 30+ times over the course of the game. Grabbing him in the lower third of the salary pool will allow you to essentially overpay at some of the other skill positions. Joe Flacco - $6100 Sitting behind Stafford in the price scheme is Flacco who faces a Bucs team getting shredded through the air. The Bucs appear disinterested in defending tightly thrown spirals, or receivers, or really anything associated with the opposing team's passing attack. Flacco needs to do very little to pay this price off, and I don't think it pays to spend big on quarterback this week. Not with competent starters sitting so low on the salary chart.   Running Backs LeVeon Bell - $8300 Matt Forte- $9000 Though I'm typically loathe to simply give the chalk plays and qualify them as "analysis", in this case both of these guys represent value on Draftster this week. Essentially, by employing some of the other cheaper players mentioned in...

Read More

DOWNLOAD YOUR EBOOK NOW

Our free NBA and MLB eBooks, and picks to your inbox every day!

Your eBooks are on their way!