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Daily Fantasy NFL Picks for Draftpot - Week 7

Welcome to the Week 7 DFS NFL picks article for Draftpot, a brand new way to play fantasy sports. Draftpot is similar to other DFS sites except there is no salary cap restrictions. They offer two separate game types(Fan Mode/GM Mode). For NFL, Fan Mode allows you to build a roster of 1 QB,2 RB,3 WR,1 TE,2 FLEX,1 K,1 DEF without salary restrictions. You can roster anyone you want. In GM Mode, you also roster the same positions but have a Drafpot Points Per Game(DPPG) cap. Each player have a PPG value attached to their name which is a reflection of their previous 16 games played. This gives a more transparent look at player value.

Need other NFL Picks? Chris Raybon's Week 7 NFL Plays are up as well as our Week 7 Value Picks.

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When making my picks I will be looking at a multitude of information (Vegas lines, totals and player props, targets, defensive matchups, injuries, offensive line rankings and of course DPPG) to break down all the players in the pool to provide you with the best analysis possible for the slate at hand.

If you missed out on Week 6 at DraftPot, you missed out on a large amount of overlay. Don't worry though. They are doing it again this week with their $12 entry, $100,000 Guarantee Touchdown Fan Mode tournament. It pays $10,000 to first and is bound to have more overlay again this weekend. Get in on the action while there is still time.

To win a tournament in Fan Mode you won't be able to just pick the top players at their positions each week. You will need to differentiate yourself with some low ownership picks. One way I love doing this is picking good players who are coming off a bad to horrible week. Recency bias plays a huge part in daily fantasy and is something we can use to our advantage to gain an edge on the field in large field GPP tournaments. I feel there is a tremendous opportunity for this here in week 2 with the number of poor performances by top players last week.



Remember, in a mode like DraftPot you will need some separation from the field. Players who stand to produce big games that give you a chance to break from the pack some.

Quarterbacks

Carson Palmer - Arizona Cardinals vs. BAL (DPPG - 19.0)
HE plays at home on Monday Night Football in the best matchup for a quarterback. The Ravens are giving up over 300 yards passing and close to 2 touchdowns a game to QB's. When looking at Palmers stats you see a few games that were average games but look closer and you will see the defense has scored 3 defensive touchdowns(2nd in league) this year which has taken away his opportunities. Don't expect the defense to keep scoring at this rate which will only give Palmer more upside moving forward.

Andrew Luck - Indianapolis Colts vs NO (DPPG - 19.6)
It was a disappointing start to the year for Luck and it turns out he was dealing with a shoulder injury. He took 2 weeks off to heal and came back with a 300+ yard/3 TD effort vs. the Patriots in a loss last week. Look for Luck to continue to improve as he gets healthier and put up more games like last week. He enters a great matchup vs the Saints giving up close to the most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. Stack Luck with Moncrief or Hilton for maximum exposure to the Colts passing game.

Also Consider: Cam Newton - Carolina Panthers vs. PHI(20.84 DPPG)

 

Running Backs

Adrian Peterson - Minnesota Vikings @ DET (DPPG - 14.74)
He is coming off a horrible game last week which should create a lower ownership. This week he should be able to get back on track vs. a division rival in the Lions who are in the bottom third of the league in fantasy points allowed to running backs. Even with the bad game last week, he sits 7th in rushing with 432 yards and 3 TD's. He averages 107 yards per game in his career vs. the Lions and I am expecting another monster outing from Purple Jesus.

Demarco Murray - Philadelphia Eagles @ CAR (DPPG - 18.23)
He started off the year slow and didn't look to be the right fit in Chip Kelly's offensive system. He has now posted 2 solid rushing games in a row(20/83/1 & 21/112/1) and has seen an uptick in receptions as well(7/37 & 3/14). While Carolina seems to be a negative matchup they are in the bottom third of the league in fantasy points allowed to running backs. Get your shares of Murray before the ownership sky rockets.

Also Consider: Theo Riddick - Detroit Lions (10.57 DPPG)

 

Wide Receivers

DeAndre Hopkins - Houston Texans @ MIA (19.38 DPPG)
He has been an absolute beast this year getting more targets than any other receiver(89) and it's not even close. He has converted those targets into 52 receptions for 726 yards and 5 touchdowns. If the Texans can keep him away from Grimes(plays 93% one side of formation) for most of the game, he should have another monster fantasy day.

Larry Fitzgerald - Arizona Cardinals vs. BAL (16.33 DPPG)
If you are playing Palmer this week, Fitz makes a great stacking option for tournaments. He is averaging 9 targets a game and has 43 receptions for 583 yards and 6 touchdowns so far in 2015. The matchup is great as the Ravens are giving up over 220 yards a game and 1.5 TD's to wide receivers.

Also Consider: Donte Moncrief - Indianapolis Colts (DPPG 10.42)

 

Tight Ends

Antonio Gates - San Diego Chargers vs. OAK (DPPG - 11.35)
Has been up to his usual fantasy ways since returning from his early season suspension. He has back to back games of 9 receptions and 90+ yards and had 2 TD's the first game back. Expect much of the same this week as the Raiders are the worst team in the league in giving up fantasy points to tight ends.

Travis Kelce - Kansas City Chiefs vs. PIT (DPPG - 11.86)
He is definitely top 3 most frustrating options to own in fantasy. He started the year off with a monster 100+ yard, 2 TD game making everyone feel like this was the year. Well he has been nothing but average since that game, but I feel this is the week he breaks out again. The Steelers are bottom 3 in the league in fantasy points allowed to tight ends and if Maclin is out, Smith won't have many options to throw to leaving, hopefully, 10+ targets to Kelce.

Also Consider - Jason Witten - Dallas Cowboys (DPPG - 12.06)

 

Defenses

Cleveland Browns @STL (DPPG - 8.94)
They have really started to play well the last couple weeks and have scored double digit points each game. A favorable matchup vs. turnover friendly Nick Foles. Look for a 3rd straight double digit day from the Browns.

Washington Redskins vs. TB (DPPG - 6.88)
They have put up double digit fantasy point weeks in 4 of their last 5 games. They now have a matchup vs. an average to bad Bucs team who turns the ball over a bunch adjusting to rookie QB Winston. The Redskins offer multi sack upside and also have 4 interceptions on the year.

 

Kickers

Stephen Gostkowski - New England Patriots vs. NYJ (DPPG - 12.69)
The Patriots put up a ton of points each week giving Gostowski a nice floor. This week I feel he will get a few more FG attempts as the Jets have a top tier defense. He has 4 straight double digit fantasy weeks.

Josh Lambo - San Diego Chargers vs. OAK (DPPG - 10.33)
He has put up 3 straight games of double digit fantasy points. Oakland has been pretty good defensively, which would should give Lambo multiple FG opportunities Sunday.

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image sources

  • A._Peterson_2013: By MN National Guard [CC BY 3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0)], via Wikimedia Commons
Chris Durell