Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 9/26/16

Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 9/26/16

 

Welcome to Monday baseball! We have a nice 10 game slate on our hands with some aces and a few offenses in great spots to put up some runs. Make sure to check out our other articles as they will touch on more pitching options, tournament stacks and any weather concerns that may arise. Let's get into the top options at each position!

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PITCHER

Corey Kluber FD 11000 DK 13500
Opponent - DET (Farmer) Park - @DET
FD - 33.2 DK - 22.14

Corey Kluber is going to start us off here at the pitcher position, as he usually does when he takes the mound. Kluber and the Indians will be taking on the Detroit Tigers. While the Tigers are a very talented offense, they can struggle mightily at times against right handers. There big power bats like Justin Upton and J.D. Martinez have very high strikeout rates and gives Kluber the type of upside we are looking for. Kluber has been fantastic against both righties and lefties with a .291 combined wOBA to go along with some spectacular peripherals and batted ball rates. Dating back to the start of the season, Kluber has exhibited a 9.23 K rate and a 27.5% hard contact rate. The game will be played in Comerica Park, which is a great park for pitchers. Kluber has a ton of upside, though his floor is definitely in question. Because of that, I will have more exposure to Kluber in tournaments. I do see the merit in cash games, but there are a few other guys you have to consider as well. Kluber is a lot more expensive on DraftKings, so I would rather roster him on FanDuel. If you want to pay down a little bit, you can consider Jaime Garcia.

Jaime Garcia FD 7300 DK 6800
Opponent - CIN (Adleman) Park - @STL
FD - 27.69 DK - 18.61

Sure, Jaime Garcia is frustrating to watch. He gets in ruts and has to find a way out of a ton of jams. That being said, he usually finds a way to get it done. Garcia has sported a combined wOBA of .299 that is backed up by a great set of peripherals and batted ball rates. He will be taking on a Cincinnati Reds team that has been absolutely atrocious on the road. Away from home, the Reds have sported the 4th worst wOBA in the league at .299 and have backed that number up with a 24.6% hard contact rate. The game will be played in Busch Stadium, which is a very good pitchers ballpark. Garcia is pretty cheap on both sites, but he is way too cheap on DraftKings. At only $6800, he gives you a bunch of upside and lets you pay up for some big bats. While he doesn't have the same upside as Kluber, he has plenty for his price.

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CATCHER

Stephen Vogt FD 3000 DK 3300
Opponent - LAA (Weaver) Park - @LAA
FD - 9.39 DK - 7.29

Stephen Vogt is going to start us off at the catcher position here against Jered Weaver and the Los Angeles Angels. While Vogt had a rough start to the season, he has turned it around recently and has been bashing righties as of late. On the season, Vogt has sported a .317 wOBA against righties, though his peripherals suggest it should be around .340. He will be facing off with Jered Weaver tonight, a right handed veteran that has sported a .372 wOBA against left handers. Jered Weaver is easily one of the worst pitchers on the slate and you can target him with anyone that is in the top half of the Athletics order. While the ballpark is a little tough, Vogt is not reliant on power and should be able to produce here against such a bad pitcher. Vogt is my top option in cash games and tournaments when you consider the price and match up.

Jonathan Lucroy FD 3500 DK 4700
Opponent - MIL (Garza) Park - @TEX
FD - 10.21 DK - 7.97

Lucroy is going to be our first of 3 Rangers, a team that we absolutely love tonight. The Rangers will be taking on Matt Garza, who like Weaver, is washed up. Garza has been pitiful against both righties and lefties. While his wOBA against righties isn't too bad, it is being held up by a ton of luck in the form of a low BABIP and a low HR/FB rate. The righties are going to start connecting and I expect that to start tonight. Lucroy has been phenomenal against righties in 2016 with a high wOBA and some very steady peripherals. The game will be played in Globe Life Park, which is one of the better parks in the league for right handed power. Lucroy can be considered in both cash games and tournaments, though he is pretty expensive. If you can afford it, go for it.

FIRST BASE

Jose Abreu FD 3500 DK 4100
Opponent - TB (Cobb) Park - @CHW
FD - 11.01 DK - 8.43

Jose Abreu is going to start us off at first base, the most lethal position in fantasy. Every night, a few 1st baseman will hit homers and you will be at a huge disadvantage if you don't peg one of those guys. Abreu has been very good against right handers for the last 3 years with a .364 wOBA. While his power numbers have been off this year, he has been hitting for more power lately and will likely close the year on a good note. He will be facing off with Alex Cobb, a right hander that has been horrible this season with a combined .360 wOBA. U.S. Cellular Field is a great one for right handed power and Abreu will look to take advantage of that. Abreu is my top option in both cash games and tournaments. If you are looking for a cheaper guy in tournaments, let's take a look at Mitch Moreland.

Mitch Moreland FD 3300 DK 2900
Opponent - MIL (Garza) Park - @TEX
FD - 10.17 DK - 7.73

NO, Mitch Moreland is not a cash game play by any means. However, he is a phenomenal tournament play. He is a free swinger that will be aiming for the upper deck on every swing. When he makes contact, he pays off in 1 pitch. He will be taking on Matt Garza, who has been atrocious against left handers with a .369 wOBA. While Garza used to be good, he has lost some velocity and his secondary pitches have dropped in movement. In result, he is getting hammered and will likely get hammered again tonight by the lethal Texas Rangers. Moreland has actually been quite good against righties over the last 3 seasons. Since 2013, he has sported a .331 wOBA to go with a 34% hard contact rate.  Like I said, Moreland is not a guy I am recommending for cash games. He is a cheap alternative that has as much upside as anyone in any price range.

SECOND BASE

Rougned Odor FD 3700 DK 4500
Opponent - MIL (Garza) Park - @TEX
FD - 11.68 DK - 9.45

I promise, this is the last Texas Ranger. They are just in a fantastic spot and have such a lethal offense. Rougned Odor has somewhat quietly became the Rangers top hitter, and while that is somewhat controversial, the numbers confirm it. He has hit righties to a .372 wOBA clip alongside a 36.2% hard contact rate and a 22.9% line drive rate. Like Lucroy and Moreland, he will have a great shot at a homer due to the fantastic ballpark. He is taking on one of the worst pitchers on the slate in Garza, and I expect a big game. There is not too much more to say about this offense and the spot they are in. Odor is a bit over priced on DraftKings, but is priced very fairly over on FanDuel. He can be played in both cash games and tournaments.

Ben Zobrist FD 3000 DK 4400
Opponent - PIT (Kuhl) Park - @PIT
FD - 9.34 DK - 7.24

Ben Zobrist and the Cubs are in an interesting spot here against Chad Kuhl and the Pittsburgh Pirates. They are facing off with Kuhl, who is a right hander that has struggled against lefties and has been very good against righties. Because of that, I will be playing a few lefties on the Cubs, but will not be stacking them too heavily. Zobrist is my favorite of the bunch as he never strikes out and constantly puts out good at-bats. Zobrist has sported a .372 wOBA against righties with a 34.9% hard contact rate. While the ballpark isn't great for lefties, it is still a bit above average for them. While Rougned Odor is definitely my favorite guy, you have to consider Zobrist, especially on FanDuel where he is only $3000. If you need to pay down, he is a great way to go.

SHORTSTOP

Jhonny Peralta FD 2800 DK 3100
Opponent - CIN (Adleman) Park - @STL
FD - 10.47 DK - 8.09

Jhonny Peralta is going to start us off here at the shortstop position. Peralta and the Cardinals are in a very good spot here against Tim Adleman, a right handed youngster that has been horrible against both lefties and righties. Against right handers, Adleman has sported a .332 wOBA, though his peripherals suggest it should be around .342. Peralta on the other hand, has been great against righties over the last few seasons with a .341 wOBA. While Peralta is definitely a bit risky, he has a ton of tournament upside and can lift you to the top off a tournament. He is way too cheap on both FanDuel and DraftKings, so you can use him anywhere you want. While  I definitely prefer Semien, Peralta is a great way to go as well.

Marcus Semien FD 2900 DK 3300
Opponent - LAA (Weaver) Park - @LAA
FD - 8.74 DK - 6.95

While Peralta is listed above Semien, I like Semien a little bit more. He is taking on an atrocious pitcher in Jered Weaver that has given up a putrid .369 wOBA against right handers. Aside from the putrid wOBA, Weaver gives up a ton of homers and strikes out nobody. Semien on the other hand, has been terrific against right handers so far in 2016 with 16 of his 26 homers coming off of them. While Semien is more of a tournament guy, I like him in cash games tonight as I expect the Athletics to have a big night as a whole. The ballpark is definitely an issue, but Semien has hit a lot of homers in the Oakland Coliseum, which is a lot worse of a ballpark than Angels Stadium. Semien is my favorite option in tournaments and my 2nd favorite option in cash games behind Jhonny Peralta.

THIRD BASE

Jonathan Villar FD 3900 DK 5000
Opponent - TEX (Perez) Park - @TEX
FD - 9.34 DK - 8.49

Jonathan Villar entered this season with low expectations and has done absolutely terrific. Against lefties, Villar has sported a .341 wOBA that is backed up by very high peripherals and batted ball rates. He will be taking on Martin Perez, a left handed veteran that has struggled mightily against righties. Perez has given up the 5th most homers to righties in the league and I don't see that changing anytime soon. While Villar isn't necessarily a power bat, he has hit some homers ad can score in many different ways. The game is being played in Globe Life Park, which is a top 5 park in the league for righties. Between Frazier and Villar, I will go with Villar in cash games and Frazier in tournaments. Like most guys, he is super expensive on DraftKings and fairly priced on FanDuel.

Todd Frazier FD 3500 DK 5100
Opponent - TB (Cobb) Park - @CHW
FD - 9.71 DK - 7.64

Frazier is going to be our 2nd White Sox bat and the combo of Abreu and Frazier is one I will have a bunch of tonight. Alex Cobb has been absolutely horrible on the season and there is no reason to expect him to magically improve all of a sudden. He is also going into a ballpark that is going to give him a ton of trouble. Moving from Tropicana Field, that is a huge difference. Frazier is better against righties than he is lefties and has sported a .361 wOBA since 2014. Frazier can be considered in both tournaments and cash games, though I like Villar more in cash games. Frazier is way too expensive on DraftKings, but is priced nicely on FanDuel. If you can afford him on DraftKings, he has a ton of upside and will very low owned because of the price.

OUTFIELD

Stephen Piscotty FD 3200 DK 3600
Opponent - CIN (Adleman) Park - @STL
FD - 11.84 DK - 9.28

We are going to take a look at another St.Louis Cardinals bat here against Tim Adleman and the Cincy Reds. Adleman has been atrocious this year and there is no reason to expect a change in that anytime soon. Piscotty is fairly priced on both FanDuel and DraftKings, which makes him a terrific play in both cash games and tournaments. Piscotty has been great against righties over the past 2 seasons with a .353 wOBA to go along with a 35.7% hard contact rate and a 14.7% HR/FB rate. While Busch Stadium isn't the best ballpark for right handed power, Piscotty is not home run reliant and can score fantasy points in so many different ways. The Cardinals are a team that can be stacked tonight in both tournaments and cash games, as they are a very consistent offense as a whole.

Christian Yelich FD 3400 DK 4100
Opponent - NYM (Colon) Park - @MIA
FD - 10.12 DK - 8.18

I send my prayers and condolences to everyone involved with the Jose Fernandez tragedy. it is absolutely astonishing and stunning. The marlins are going to do there best to ounce back. I look for Christian Yelich to have a big game tonight. he will be taking on Bartolo Colon, who has fallen off as of late. Over the past 2 months, Colon has given up a .361 wOBA to lefties and his peripherals back it up. Yelich on the other hand, has been fantastic this year with  a.372 wOBA against righties that is backed up by a 34.1% hard contact rate and a 23.7%  line drive rate. While Marlins Park isn't great for power, Yelich is not power reliant. He can hit the ball around the park and rack up plenty of fantasy points.

Mike Trout FD 4500 DK 5000
Opponent - OAK (Detwiler) Park - @LAA
FD - 12.41 DK - 9.84

Mike Trout is in a perfect match up. He is facing off with Ross Detwiler, a left handed soft tosser that has been absolutely egregious against righties. Dating back to 2014, Detwiler has sported a .386 wOBA against right handers and aside from the wOBA, he has sported a 16.8% HR/FB rate and a 5.41 SIERA. Trout on the other hand, has destroyed lefties since entering the league. Since 2015, Trout has sported a .413 wOBA that is backed up by plenty of peripherals and batted ball rates. If you can afford Trout, you have to do it in both cash games and tournaments. While Angels Stadium isn't great, Trout has proven his ability to rack up big games there.

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Austyn Varney

View Comments

  • The Rays look to hit some bombs today vs. Shields. I like a Miller/Longoria combo with a dash of Dickerson. Matt Carpenter also has a nice price tag today. The best stack outside of the Rays is Cleveland but they are pricey. With not a lot of mid-tier SP2 value outside of Jaime Garcia, it will be hard to get Indians in there. I may take a flier on Kuhl or Colon in gpp's. There should be some major potential value this week as clinch teams will be resting some stars so check starting line-ups for those 2K guys in good spots.

  • I like the Rays as well. Don't sleep on Alexei Ramirez if he gets into the lineup. Dude has ripped Shields over the years.

  • Am I crazy for liking weaver vs Oakland tonight? He's pitched pretty good lately and I like the angels bats against manae

  • Good call John. Must be a mix up somewhere with thier system. Don't think Abreu and Frazier are nearly as good of plays against Smyly as they would be Cobb.