Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/23/17

Posted by on May 23, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/23/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.   Pitchers Jon Lester FD 10300 DK 11100 Opponent - SF (Cueto) Park - @CHC FD - 35.58 DK - 23.41 With Kershaw and Lance McCullers on the slate, we think there's a pretty good chance Lester gets overlooked tonight and with the wind blowing in at Wrigley, he's in a pretty good spot. The Giants have been the worst offense in baseball this season, and they're not much better against LHP, ranking 25th in wRC+ and 27th in both wOBA (.287) and ISO (.113). In their defense, they don't strike out a ton, but with a 20% K rate, it's not like they're making elite contact, either. Lester hasn't been exactly dominant, but his peripherals (3.57 xFIP) are in line with what we saw last year. The Ks are actually up slightly, and the ground balls are up a lot, so if he can get the walks under control, he's got more than enough to shut down the San Fran offense. One caveat here: There's rain in the forecast starting a little after first pitch, but forecasts can fluctuate a lot over the course of the day, so you'll need to keep a close on the weather in this one. Matt Shoemaker FD 8800 DK 9200 Opponent - TB (Cobb) Park - @TB FD - 29.29 DK - 19.44 We said it yesterday when we recommended JC Ramirez in this space, but there's equal amounts of upside and risk when you take a pitcher against the Rays this year. No team in baseball strikes out more (26% vs. RHP), but they're also fourth in the league in wRC+ and ISO (.194). The park should help Shoemaker limit the damage tonight -- and he could use a little help, because HRs have been an issue this season. But he's also pretty respectable when it comes to missing bats (8.94 Ks/9), and the prices only heighten our interest -- they're affordable, but not low enough to make him chalky, which is great, because if he runs up a nice total tonight, it'd be nice if we didn't have to share him with...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/23/17

Posted by on May 23, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 4 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/23/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Clayton Kershaw FD 12600 DK 13400 Opponent - STL (Lynn) Park - @LAD FD - 45.28 DK - 29.91 You guys know the drill. It's Clayton Kershaw. At the very least, he's cash-game viable every time he toes the rubber, and he's usually the chalk play. The Cardinals give us little reason to approach this slate differently, as they come in with a .300 team wOBA, a healthy 22.6% K rate, and ranked 22nd in wRC+ vs. lefties this season. Kershaw's strikeouts aren't up to his standards, and he's generating significantly fewer swings and misses than he has in the previous three seasons, so it's a testament to his all-around excellence that he continues to be one of best pitchers in baseball even when he's not quite himself. His 1.62 FIP is the best in MLB among qualified starters, and he's firmly in the top 10 in both ERA and xFIP. Really, the only hesitation here would be the prices, but they're nothing we haven't seen before, and on a 15-game slate, we should be able to find enough value bats to fit Kershaw in without too much of a problem. Lance McCullers FD 9400 DK 10200 Opponent - DET (Zimmermann) Park - @HOU FD - 35.99 DK - 23.65 McCullers has also seen a dip in Ks early in 2017, but considering the massive improvement in his walk rate, it's a trade-off we're willing to accept (especially since he's still nearly hitting 10 Ks/9). He makes a fine pivot off of Kershaw if you're looking to save some cash and keep some upside, but we'd probably prefer that maneuver in tourneys, because Detroit presents some issues. They're one of the most patient teams in baseball vs. RHP with a 10.7% walk rate, and though they're down a tick in the split this year, they're still solidly above average in terms of wRC+. But as far as risks go, we see this as an acceptable one. McCullers' 2.62 xFIP is the second-best in baseball this season, and his 60% ground ball rate should help limit the Tigers' chances of finding the cheap seats.   Catcher Gary Sanchez FD 3600 DK 4700 Opponent - KC (Duffy) Park - @NYY FD - 11.88 DK - 9.16...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/22/17

Posted by on May 22, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/22/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.   ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS We've got a very nice selection of offenses in good spots today (especially if the weather holds off in Chicago), but the Diamondbacks might just be our favorite. They've been excellent vs. RHP this season, posting the fifth-best wRC+, second-best ISO (.199) and No. 1 OPS (.831), and hitting in Chase Field never hurts. They'll be facing Miguel Gonzalez tonight. The White Sox righty has done a reasonable job of preventing major damage this season, but it looks like he's in for some regression in terms of run prevention, with a 5.54 xFIP more than a full run higher than his ERA (4.29). He's a fly-ball guy who doesn't miss bats (5.4 Ks/9 in 2017), and he's especially vulnerable against lefties, with a .349 wOBA allowed this season. That makes Jake Lamb one of the top plays on the board, given his .391 wOBA and .292 ISO vs. southpaws since last season. David Peralta and Paul Goldschmidt have also done very nice work in this split, so the 2-3-4 stack is looking like an excellent place to start building -- but it's pricey, especially on DraftKings. Keep an eye out for the lineup, because Chris Herrmann would also make an attractive option if he draws the start, and Gregor Blanco could provide some salary relief at the top of the order. CHICAGO CUBS The wind's blowing out again in Wrigley, which means everybody who picks up a bat in this game is in play. There's rain in the forecast, so you'll definitely need to monitor that, but as of now, a PPD looks unlikely. The Cubs have largely under-performed this season, but their numbers against southpaws remain strong with the No. 5 wRC+ and wOBA (.342), and No. 8 ISO (.188). Meanwhile, Ty Blach is an easy guy to load up against when we get conditions that favor the hitters this strongly. He's done a good job of limiting homers in his first 50 or so MLB innings, but his ground ball rate is pretty average this year, and anything that gets in the air will...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/22/17

Posted by on May 22, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 2 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/22/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.   Pitchers Zack Greinke FD 10300 DK 12000 Opponent - CHW (Gonzalez) Park - @ARI FD - 34.66 DK - 22.83 It's hard to say where ownership levels for pitching are going to end up tonight. There's no clear, obvious stud in a great spot, so as one of the biggest names -- and arguably the most talented SP on the slate -- it would be easy to imagine Greinke becoming the chalk. It's still relatively early in the season, but we have to like what we've seen out of the 33-year-old so far in 2017. At 10+ Ks/9, he's striking out guys at a clip he hasn't seen since 2011, and it's backed up by a 13% swinging strike rate, which would be the highest of his career. He's also had quality starts with at least six Ks in five of his last six, resulting in a 3.09 xFIP on the year, and he's also got a nice matchup at the White Sox, who rank 24th in wRC+ and 27th in wOBA vs. RHP this season. On the downside, the price is going to make him significantly less attractive (especially on DK), and few pitchers can be considered safe bets in Chase Field, one of the top three parks in baseball in overall offensive factors. Going against the chalk in this kind of situation can often be a profitable tournament strategy, but given the likelihood that Greinke ends up the top-performing SP on the slate, we think it'd be wise to at least get some exposure. J.C. Ramirez FD 7200 DK 7300 Opponent - TB (Odorizzi) Park - @TB FD - 27.67 DK - 18.36 Ramirez obviously doesn't come with Greinke's name recognition, but it wouldn't be surprising if he's just as popular on this slate, because the price is right and there's always upside against the Rays at Tropicana Field. Tampa strikes out more frequently than any team in baseball vs. RHP (26.6%), and the Trop is one of baseball's best parks for pitchers. That said, even with the tendency to whiff, the Rays have been a dangerous offense...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/22/17

Posted by on May 22, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 5 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/22/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.   Pitcher Michael Pineda FD 8700 DK 10500 Opponent - KC (Hammel) Park - @NYY FD - 35.97 DK - 23.63 Pineda has been exceptional to start the 2017 campaign. He's striking out more and walking fewer batters than ever. He's been effective against both sides of the plate and has done a great job avoiding the big inning. Pineda is a  guy who has routinely blown up in years past, however, looking at this year's box scores, he hasn't had a single one of those games. He's battled in every contest and even if his "stuff" isn't working, he's shown the ability to fight through and give a quality start, which wasn't there for the past 4 seasons. So far in 2017, Pineda is a holding a combined .296 wOBA to go along with a strong 2.78 xFIP. This match-up with the Royals is one that stands out for right-handers. While the team has a reputation for being scrappy and hard to pitch against, it's simply not true. The Royals have held the 2nd lowest wOBA in the league against righties (.292) and have been utterly useless at the plate as a team.  They swing early and they swing with no conviction. While the bump into Yankees Stadium could draw a troublesome spot or two, I see Pineda working out of it and turning in a very strong start. On FanDuel, he's a bit too cheap. He's far below Cole and Greinke, who have a very similar floor and ceiling in their respective match-ups. All in all, Pineda makes for a strong play in all formats. Gerrit Cole FD 9800 DK 9700 Opponent - ATL (Foltynewicz) Park - @ATL FD - 31.75 DK - 20.93 We saw the true Freddie Freeman-less Braves last night. After going all-in on Stephen Strasburg, I tuned in to watch him get nickeled and dime to death by a bunch of AAA players. Instead, we finally saw what has been coming to these Braves. They were embarrassed at the plate and put on a swivel for the better part of 8 innings. Strasburg struck out 11 and outside of the 8th inning, was never in real trouble. He smoothly sailed through the order 3 times and capitalized on what...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 5/21/17

Posted by on May 21, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 8 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/21/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NBA Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NBA Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.   Pitcher Stephen Strasburg FD 10100 DK 11300 Opponent - ATL (Garcia) Park - @ATL FD - 37.41 DK - 24.67 With a few solid options to choose from yesterday, we see a dip in choices today. We do have couple solid options, but nowhere near the same amount of options as yesterday. Starting us off, we have Stephen Strasburg against the Braves. While the Braves have seemed to "get it done", the numbers say they are horrible against righties and should be targeted in this match-up. They do only hold a 3.89 implied team total, which is a lot lower than the average team on this slate. The Braves are really horrible right now and without Freddie Freeman, they will be shut down more often than they dominate. The entire lineup is filled with horrible hitters and even though they keep getting lucky, that will stop. The bottom of this order is pitiful and has a couple guys who should not be in the MLB. Strasburg has actually started the season a lot worse against righties. His numbers should normalize and as a guy who has dominated righties for his entire career, the numbers should come back. We took a look at this match-up yesterday with Max  Scherzer. He ended up only going 5 innings and not having a very great start. This should keep a lot of people off of Strasburg, who is a worse pitcher in the same match-up. Fortunately for us, what Scherzer did yesterday has no impact on Stephen Strasburg and his current production. Strasburg has a ton of upside here and in cash games, he makes a ton of sense. You can chalk in 6 or 7 strikeouts here and against the Braves, I think 'Stras goes 7 or 8 innings. Either way, this is a slate without too many options and you do have to take it here you can get it. SunTrust Park has been a friendly hitter haven, but let's see if Strasburg can shut them down for a day. Chris Archer FD 10100 DK 10800 Opponent - NYY (Sabathia) Park - @TB FD - 36.7 DK - 24.15 Staying in the same price range as Stephen Strasburg, we have Chris Archer facing off with the...

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