Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.
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Ugh. The Blue Jays haven't been good this season. They rank 23rd in wRC+ and 25th in wOBA vs. RHP this season -- but under-performing offenses are going to be a theme in this article today. Such is the slate we're given. On the bright side, Toronto has picked up the pace lately, but we're less impressed by hot streaks than we are by the opportunity to face Bartolo Colon in a great hitter's park. Like we wrote about last week, it looks like we're nearing the end of the line for Bartolo. He's getting hammered in 2017, and his HRs allowed continue to trend in the wrong direction. After giving up eight runs and three homers in 5.2 innings against the Astros last time out, he's now allowing 2.08 HRs/9 this year. The Blue Jays don't pack the same kind of firepower as found in Houston's lineup, but there's enough here to blow up a scuffling starter who's looking every bit of his 44 years old. Kevin Pillar and Ezequiel Carrera have been very effective table setters vs. RHP this season, each with a wOBA over .350. Meanwhile, Jose Bautista and Kendrys Morales both have ISOs north of .200 in the split dating back to last season, and Joey Bats is (finally) showing signs that he might still have something left.
As awful as this slate is for pitching, it's not that much better for stacks. We've only got three games with totals over 8.5, and no individual team with an implied total over five. So, here we are recommending the Angels in a bad park. They actually come in with the highest implied total on the board as of Monday morning, no doubt owing to Mike Pelfrey's continued inability to get big-league hitters out. He's one of the worst pitchers in baseball when it comes to missing bats (4 Ks/9 dating back to 2016), and the numbers don't get much better elsewhere (.371 wOBA allowed, 5.17 xFIP). He doesn't get burned often by homers, but that's OK -- if we're stacking the Angels we're really looking to compile points as opposed to getting bunches courtesy of a three-run homer or two. Outside of Mike Trout, there's not an awful lot to get excited about in this lineup, and they've been bad against RHP this season (89 wRC+). But Trout and Luis Valbuena give us a couple of solid building blocks, and Kole Calhoun is pretty interesting against a guy like Pelfrey who can't exploit his sudden increase in whiffs.
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You might have noticed we actually recommended Diamondbacks starter Zack Godley as an SP option in tournaments. While that's a fine route given the dearth of choices on the main slate, if you're playing Godley, we think it'd probably be smart to hedge with some Mets exposure. They haven't been very good against RHP this season (18th in wOBA, 19th in wRC+), but given the significant positive park shift and the plethora of left-handed bats in the lineup, the potential for a big night exists. Godley has been strong in 2017, but it's only been two starts, and that's important to keep in mind. He's still a guy with a 5.00 ERA and 4.60 FIP in 123 career innings, so we don't have to duck him completely. And while the Mets' team totals vs. RHP haven't been great, Michael Conforto and Jay Bruce alone make this a stack worth considering. Both have wOBAs over .440 and ISOs over .350 vs. RHP this year, and though those numbers will likely be regressing, Chase Field could help keep them afloat for a little while longer.
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If you are playing Mets, why would you then play Godley? Is that an FD thought or a DK thought?
It is a hedge play as noted in the write up. IF you are playing Godley everywhere, it makes sense to do a Mets line in case he gets crushed. In particular, the lefty power. We are talking about a game at Chase so it is a very hitter friendly park. On slates where there is no ace, I usually plant my flag somewhere and then do a single hedge against my pitcher.