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Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC Fight Night 76 in Dublin

Posted by on Oct 24, 2015 in Daily Fantasy MMA Picks, Daily Fantasy UFC Picks | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC Fight Night 76 in Dublin On Saturday, October 24th, there will be some MMA action over in Ireland as UFC Fight Night 76 in Dublin is set to go off. The big news right now is that Joseph Duffy has pulled out of the main event against Dustin Poirier and that the fight has been cancelled, but that doesn’t mean that there will not be other fights this date. Here, we’re going to take a look at some of the most important fights to consider for your daily fantasy roster. If you haven’t drafted one yet, or you just want to get a second opinion, this guide should prove to be a valuable resource as we break down the fights for you. Nicolas Dalby v. Darren Till This fight has a bit of an oddity associated with it when you start looking at DraftKings salary in comparison to fantasy point averages. Dalby it the more expensive player at $10,100, but he has only averaged 58.5 fantasy points. Till is priced at only $9,300, but is averaging 83.5 points. This indicates that Dalby is the favorite for this fight, but that Till has been more lucrative as a fantasy fighter in the past. If Dalby is the favorite for this fight, this looks like it will not be Till that scores the most points, but this fight is a bit too close on paper to tell for certain. When a fight is that close on paper, the cheaper fighter is almost always the correct choice, so Till is a very attractive choice here. Louis Smolka v. Paddy Holohan Smolka, “Da Last Samurai,” is the favorite for this fight, but only barely. He’s priced at $9,800, compared to Holohan’s $9,600. Both fighters have won three of their last four fights, and both are pretty close in expected fantasy point value. Smolka ranks in at 63.3 while Holohan is at 59.8. Because Smolka is a favorite at less than $10,000, he’s a strong pick, but because these two fighters are so close in projected talent, either could be a good choice if your own analysis sways you toward Holohan. It’s for this reason that the Smolka-Holohan fight looks like it will be the most exciting matchup of the night now that the Duffy-Poirier fight is off the list of events. Stevie Ray v. Mickael Lebout Ray is a huge favorite for this fight, and his steep price tag is a reflection of this. Ray is priced at $11,000 right now, but has averaged 101.5 fantasy points per fight. He’s 18-5, and won his last two fights in either the first or second round by KO/TKO. He’s...

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Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC 192 – 10/3/15

Posted by on Sep 30, 2015 in Daily Fantasy MMA Picks, Daily Fantasy UFC Picks, featured | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy UFC Picks for UFC 192 - 10/3/15 Houston, Texas, will play host to UFC 192 this weekend. There are some big fights scheduled for Saturday, and a lot of smaller ones, too. If you are a fantasy MMA fan, there are some good opportunities to take advantage of when you are drafting your daily fantasy MMA rosters. Here, we will look at a few of the main fights that you should be considering for your roster, and let you know what you should be looking at before you make any sort of decision. Here is our daily fantasy analysis of three of the top fights on the card, plus your best value pick of the night. Daniel Cormier v. Alexander Gustafsson This is the headline fight of the night for sure, but the favorite isn’t quite as clear as it might seem. Daniel Cormier seems to be the consensus, and DraftKings agrees with this. They’ve priced him at $11,000, and Gustafsson is just $8,400. The main reason for this is that Gustafsson lost his most recent fight in the first round by KO/TKO. That was back in January against Anthony Johnson. A few months later, in May, Cormier also fought Johnson, but won in a third round submission. Cormier definitely has the edge here because of this, but Cormier isn’t scoring as many fantasy points each fight as Gustafsson is. However, even if this is a lower scoring match, Cormier is the favorite and going with Gustafsson isn’t the right choice even if he has more points per match historically. Whether or not Cormier will approach his average of 71.5 points per match will remain to be seen, but he’s the favorite for a reason here. Ruslan Magomedov v. Shawn Jordan These types of fights are great on your roster because both fighters are below the $10,000 average that DraftKings uses as the cutoff for a favorite. Because both are below this number, the fighters are very close in talent and there’s no clear favorite, but this doesn’t need to work against you. The opportunity is worthwhile because even if you’re wrong in who you think will win, you are still getting a good value from the fighter. Jordan is the fighter with the highest fantasy point average per past fight at 67.4 according to certain fantasy sites. Compare this to Magomedov’s 55.0 and Jordan is the clear choice. Jordan is slightly cheaper at $9,500, but even if Magomedov is slightly favored at $9,900, Jordan is still the better choice as the dollar values are close enough that the extra point potential far outweighs the $400 difference. Julianna Pena v. Jessica Eye Women’s MMA is a popular...

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Big Fight on the UFC Schedule

Posted by on Sep 24, 2015 in Daily Fantasy MMA Picks, Daily Fantasy UFC Picks | 0 comments

The upcoming UFC Fight Night is not one of the main UFC events, but it still promises excitement. There are a few good fights scheduled for the night, and of course, the daily fantasy sports action that it creates will be a lot of fun, too. Having a good approach to drafting your roster is a must, so we have broken down a few of the bigger fights for you. We’ve also included some things to think about as you create your rosters. Without further delay, here are our top 3 daily fantasy MMA picks for Saturday’s UFC Fight Night. Josh Barnett v. Roy Nelson This might be the biggest fight of the night, but underdog Nelson has a very real chance of winning this one. The last time Barnett fought in a UFC match was back in 2013, and he lost. Nelson fought just a few months ago and also lost, but has much more recent experience than his competition. Barnett is priced at $10,800 on DraftKings, while Nelson is a steal at only $8,600. The Vegas odds have Barnett as the overwhelming favorite, too, which does tend to detract from his actual chances of winning, but in this case, going with Nelson seems like the mathematically correct choice. If you do believe that Barnett is the clear victor here, though, your best choice is to just not include this fight on your roster. Gegard Mousasi v. Uriah Hall This is another fight where there is an overwhelming favorite. Mousasi is valued at $11,300 while Hall is just $8,100. In this case, the favorite is the better choice. While you won’t be getting much value out of Mousasi at such a huge price, he is a much stronger fighter. His fight record is historically stronger, and he has more than double the recorded fights that Hall has. The only downside to Mousasi is that he’s been scoring fewer fantasy points per fight lately. This is mostly because of Hall’s last fight, where he won by KO/TKO in the first round. This type of win always brings in big points, and it has boosted Hall’s points in a big way. Mousasi is a more experienced fighter by far, and that makes him much more attractive. He has little fantasy value here, but that’s okay because of the big points he will bring in. Shinsho Anzai v. Roger Zapata This is one of the small card fights, but you need to include it on your roster because both fighters are below $10,000. Even if you are wrong in who you think will win, this is a good value play. They are both at $9,700, which indicates that DraftKings really isn’t...

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Daily Fantasy MMA Picks – UFC 191 Battle in Vegas

Posted by on Sep 4, 2015 in Daily Fantasy UFC Picks, featured | 1 comment

Daily Fantasy MMA Picks - UFC 191 Battle in Vegas Saturday, September 5th, will see UFC 191 going off in Las Vegas. The fights promise to be exciting and as always, there’s already a lot of hype around a few of them. Let’s look at some of the interesting daily fantasy opportunities that have popped up and see what the best approaches are for drafting a roster full of winners. Demetrious Johnson vs John Dodson The Johnson-Dodson match is the current headlining fight for this weekend’s UFC 191. Johnson is by far the favorite in this match, simply because he has defended his flyweight title so many times. DraftKings has reflected this fact with the way that they’ve priced the fighters. Johnson’s salary is $11,400. Dodson’s is $8,000. However, historically speaking, Dodson has been scoring 0.8 more fantasy points per fight on average over the last year. In the end, this shouldn’t be the sole influencer, but it does create an interesting opportunity. You want to draft fighters that have a realistic chance of winning, but the way the daily fantasy MMA draft is set up, you will need to choose underdogs. The dogs you draft should be able to score a lot of points, and Dodson has a good shot of doing this. His low salary creates value opportunity, too. The facts cannot be denied, though. The last time these two fighters clashed, Dodson lost, although he did score a knockdown against Johnson. That was in 2013, and a lot has happened since then. Either way, this should be a good fight. It just might not be the best fight to use in your fantasy roster. Anthony Johnson vs Jimi Manuwa Johnson fought last in May, where he lost by submission. He’s the current favorite here, but Manuwa is coming out of his last fight with a win by decision. Manuwa has the momentum on his side, although he doesn’t have quite the same experience as his competition. This isn’t necessarily a bad thing, though. Johnson is overpriced in this matchup at $11,500, while Manuwa is only $7,900. Johnson might be the superior fighter, but the value of Manuwa here seems almost too good to pass by on. Drafting Manuwa would open up a lot of opportunities in other places on your roster, and because he’s so cheap, you could potentially draft all favorites after him. This is a consideration, especially because the fighters are much closer in talent than what their prices reveal. Paul Felder vs Ross Pearson Felder is the favorite in this matchup and is priced at $11,200. Pearson is a good fighter and is able to go the distance regardless of whether he wins...

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UFC 191 Fantasy Picks

Posted by on Aug 19, 2015 in Daily Fantasy MMA Picks, Daily Fantasy UFC Picks, featured, Uncategorized | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC 191 This week we've got Rich from Win Daily Fantasy here to give you some MMA picks for Sunday's events. UFC 191 will not be one of the biggest cards for the MMA, but it still looks to be an exciting one. There are a couple big fights set for Sunday, August 23rd, and lots of little ones that could go either way. It’s those smaller matches where you will find the most value for your daily fantasy sports leagues as there is less mainstream info out there to help the public form their opinions. Let’s start by looking at the two biggest fights scheduled for the night, pick a winner, and then highlight a couple where there’s some big opportunity to upset the competition in your fantasy leagues. Max Holloway v. Charles Oliveira Holloway is the favorite here. He’s priced at $10,600 at DraftKings, while Oliveira is at $8,800. There’s a 17.5 fantasy point differential between the two, but Oliveira has had some pretty convincing victories recently. A lot of Holloway’s value comes from the fact that he had a first round victory 3 fights ago, and this has boosted his fantasy point status a lot. This is a fight that could go either way, and although Holloway is the favorite, it’s a little too close to tell at the big price difference here. One key strategy could be to take Oliveira for cheap and then hope, but that’s up to you. It seems to have positive expected value, but there is a risk involved if it backfires. Erick Silva v. Neil Magny Silva is the favorite at $10,400. Magny is priced at $9,000, which indicates that the experts aren’t quite as sure about the outcome of this match as they are the main event. That creates opportunity for fantasy players as Silva is a strong fighter, valued at cheaper because of the closer talent of Magny. His average fantasy point value seems low compared to his last 4 fights, too, where he has won them all in the first round except for one. He is a good value and a solid choice for your roster. Magny is a good fighter, but doesn’t have the same takedown speed as Silva, giving him a disadvantage. Now, let’s look at some of the undercard fights where you can clean up by outsmarting the competition. Marcos Rogerio de Lima v. Nikita Krylov Lima is the top fantasy point scorer in this match, has won both of his most recent fights in the first round, and is valued at under $10,000 ($9,900). Krylov had a first round loss a few fights ago, and seems like a...

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