Boston Red Sox's David Ortiz follows through on a home run off Tampa Bay Rays starting pitcher Nathan Karns during the fifth inning of a baseball game Wednesday, April 22, 2015, in St. Petersburg, Fla. Catching for the Rays is Rene Rivera. (AP Photo/O'Meara)
Welcome to our new daily article breaking down some of our top targets to go yard on this slate. We covered our system's top value plays in our daily picks article and pitching breakdown but here we will look at guys that have the best chances to hit one into the seats! Let us know what you think, comment below!
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(All stats on the charts are since 2014)
(Stats talked about in the write-up are this years stats)
Opponent - DET (Pelfrey) Park - @NYY
FD - 10.59 DK - 8.13
I know I know -- A-Rod is no longer is his prime and will be 41 at the end of July, but he still has some pop in that bat! A .222 AVG and .297 wOBA is not ideal when constructing a lineup, but he does sport a .207 ISO. He isn't hitting for a high average and is striking out over 30% of the time, but were talking about dingers for crying out loud; not base hits. Kent Murphy once said, "Dingers win ballgames, not basehits." So don't worry about his low AVG and wOBA (This applies to DFS as well and even life). So -- don't underestimate the old man.
Mike Pelfrey is "atrocious," Doug Norrie said on today's podcast. (I think he was being nice). And I have to agree with the Co-founder of DFSR (not because he's my boss). Pelfrey is a guy that gets pounded by lefties and righties, and pitching at Yankee Stadium will only make things worse. He owns a 5.35 xFIP to go along with a 32.8% hard contact rate. A-Rod is in the perfect position to do some damage, which puts the 41-year-old at the top of my long ball list. He's a great tournament play today. After he hits a dinger, just remember where you heard the A-Rod love from...
Opponent - MIN (Gibson) Park - @MIN
FD - 13.97 DK - 10.49
It feels like were back in the 2000's touting Alex Rodriguez and now David Ortiz. It's not everyday you see two 40-year-old men in a "Long Ball" article, so you're welcome for allowing you to witness greatness.
David "Big Papi" Ortiz has just been killin' it! Unlike A-Rod, he is hitting for a high average and a ton of power. On the year, he owns a .470 wOBA, 200 wRC+ and .390 ISO. And we all know those numbers look even better when a righty is on the mound -- and that is the case today! He will be going up against Tyler Duffey, who has struggled against left-handed batters this season. They own a .500 SLG and .370 wOBA, which just sets Big Papi up to have a big game. Trust the old men today, they have done it for years now!
Opponent - COL (Gray) Park - @COL
FD - 10.24 DK - 7.89
Best comparison for Brett Wallacae: Mark Reynolds, Chris Carter and Adam Dunn
As you can see, Wallace is an all-or-nothing type of guy. He will end the night 0-for-4 with 4K's or go 1-for-4 with a dinger. It's always a gamble with players like these, but I like the position Wallace is in tonight.
For starters -- he is going to be playing at Coors Field! He gets a huge ballpark boost from Petco to Coors, and I'm expecting him to take advantage of that. We all know the type of things that happens at Coors Field, and with Vegas having this game at a 12-run total, you can expect Wallace to make a contribution. Wallace is probably a guy that was not on your radar (like A-Rod), but he is a nice value play with huge upside if you're paying up for Kershaw or Strasburg.
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