Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.
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Wow. Have you guys checked the Vegas line on this one? If so, you already know that the Cubs are the chalk play of the day. They're tabbed to put up about seven runs in this one, so the question isn't whether to stack them, it's which bats do you choose -- and really, there are no wrong answers. Obviously, the big money guys are most attractive. Kris Bryant is an absolute stud in any split, and Anthony Rizzo isn't far off, despite lagging numbers early in 2017. Aside from the wind blowing out toward left-center at 15+ mph, they're getting Bronson Arroyo tonight, who gives us just about everything we could ask for in a guy to stack against: low Ks, few ground balls, and a history of home run issues. You can play just about anybody you want under these conditions. The Cubs have under-performed badly this season against RHP, but the talent for a massive night is still there throughout this lineup.
We actually liked John Lackey in this one before getting the updated weather report, but as it stands now, we're doing a 180. Vegas has the Reds as the second highest total on the main slate as of Tuesday morning, and though Lackey is due for some HR regression in his favor, 34% hard-contact and average ground-ball rates make him vulnerable with the wind blowing out. And Lackey is soft on base stealers, as well, which is always a big factor when considering the Reds and Billy Hamilton. So Hamilton's definitely in play, but Joey Votto (.426 wOBA, .259 ISO vs. RHP since last year) and Adam Duvall (.256 ISO) are the clear top choices. And if you're rostering those guys, there's little reason to skip over Zach Cozart, who owns a respectable .334 wOBA and .166 ISO in the split dating back to last season.
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Despite their struggles against southpaws in 2017, we're going to keep recommending these guys every time they get a soft lefty in a park that's a friendly to offense as Chase Field. Because even though the numbers vs. LHP aren't good right now, there's too much individual talent for it to stay that way -- even with A.J. Pollock on the shelf. I mean, some of these stats are just obscene. Paul Goldschmidt: .427 wOBA, .212 ISO vs. LHP since the start of 2016. Yasmany Tomas: .403 wOBA, .275 ISO. Chris Owings: .367, .184. You can even take a look at Nick Ahmed and Brandon Drury if you're looking to get off the beaten path a little bit, because Tommy Milone (.376 wOBA allowed vs. righties since last year) is trash.
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