New York Yankees starting pitcher Luis Severino throws to the Texas Rangers during the first inning of a baseball game, Tuesday, April 26, 2016, in Arlington, Texas. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.
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Opponent - CHW (Holland) Park - @CHW
FD - 34.81 DK - 22.9
Ok. Like we talked about in the cash games article, the top two choices at SP are clear. It's Kluber or Sale and nobody else comes close in terms of consistency/safety and upside. Both guys are chalk in cash games, and should anchor an awful lot of GPP lineups as well. So with those guys being pretty obvious plays, we're gonna go slightly off the board here and talk Dallas Keuchel -- which might be the first time in DFS history a -250 favorite could be considered even mildly contrarian. I'd expect there to be a lot debate around the Astros lefty today, because the White Sox as currently constructed are incredibly awful against lefties, and Keuchel has the ability to dominate when he's clicking. And if we felt confident that we were getting him at 100 percent, we'd be interested in him in all formats. Unfortunately, he's been shaky since returning from a six-week injury absence, giving up six runs and fanning only five in eight IP over two starts. That's worrisome, but it's also the reason we're getting him at a nice discount (at least on FanDuel). To be clear, this isn't a safe, +EV play, but it is one with an awful lot of upside if Keuchel returns to form. Even with the last two starts included, he's carrying a 2.18 ERA, 3.16 xFIP and nearly 8 Ks/9. Those K numbers aren't as eye-popping as Sale or Kluber, but the matchup presents an opportunity for rare dominance -- the projected White Sox lineup has a .288 wOBA and .98 ISO vs. LHP this season.
Opponent - DET (Boyd) Park - @PIT
FD - 26.11 DK - 17.26
Yesterday's mediocre strikeout righty worked out so well, we're just gonna run it back. Well, sort of. Even though we analyze each slate and each matchup independently, there's just an awful lot of similarities to last night,when Trevor Williams one-hit the Tigers over seven innings. We're still in a pitcher-friendly park, the Tigers are still without the DH, and they still have a lineup overloaded with right-handed hitters. Kuhl and Williams aren't the same guy, but they do share some common characteristics -- like being pretty tough on righties. Kuhl isn't a threat to run up big K numbers, (7.41 Ks/9 this season), but he's limited righties to a .295 wOBA each of the last two seasons and has a career 3.45 FIP in the split. Are we expecting another one-hitter? Nah. But we do think he's got a chance to return some excellent value on these prices.
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Copy of my SP sheet for tonight:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R8dYoAyacDLTSOrrMF6dN3g2EI-zutMCEFA8oMXOYiY/edit?usp=sharing