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Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 9/19/17

Posted by on Sep 19, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 9/19/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NFL or MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. OAKLAND ATHLETICS We're going back to well again. As we said yesterday, the A's have been one of baseball's best offenses over the last couple of months, and though they've been better vs. RHP, we like all those righties against Chad Bell tonight. The Tigers starter is a 28-year-old rookie who has done little in 54 IP this season to make us believe Detroit has unearthed some overlooked gem. Righties are rocking him for a .403 wOBA and .214 ISO, and Oakland regularly trots out up to eight guys who hit from the right side vs. southpaws. Also of note: the one lefty who regularly plays against LHP, Matt Olson, is carrying a team-best .237 in the split. We also like Ryon Healy (.378 wOBA, .226 ISO), but honestly we'd take a shot with just about any righty against Bell. He's yet to work five full innings in his three big-league starts to date, so there's a good chance we'll be seeing some substantial run from the Tigers' bullpen, which holds league-worst marks in ERA, FIP and xFIP and is second-to-last in HRs/9. ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS We're not exactly stoked about stacking in Petco, but the chance to play Paul Goldschmidt and J.D. Martinez against a weak lefty is enough to overcome a lot of misgivings. Travis Wood is yielding a .395 wOBA and .212 ISO vs. R this season, while Goldy and Martinez are putting up cartoonish numbers vs. southpaws (.412/.283 and .539/.518, respectively). A.J. Pollock and Chris Iannetta also have ISOs north of .200 vs. LHP and we'd probably limit our exposure there -- you might not have a choice, because they're going to be pricey. But those high salaries are also part of the attraction, because we're guessing the park/price combination is going to keep ownership levels reasonably low. Also worth noting: the Padres bullpen is the only one in baseball more generous than the Tigers with the long ball, surrendering 1.61 HRs/9. CHICAGO CUBS This one is all about betting against the health of Chris Archer, which admittedly, doesn't make me feel like a...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 9/19/17

Posted by on Sep 19, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 9/19/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NFL or MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Chris Archer FD 9700 DK 7900 Opponent - CHC (Montgomery) Park - @TB FD - 36.69 DK - 24.33 Ok. There's a chance something's wrong with Chris Archer. He left his Sept. 2 start with dreaded forearm tightness after facing two batters and surrendering two bombs. Since then he's been shelled in back-to-back starts, and the worries that there's a lingering UCL issue are growing. So if you're wondering what in the world is going on with the DK price -- or why we didn't write him up in the cash game article -- there's your answer. Both Archer and the Rays say he's fine, and the fact that they're sending their franchise arm out for regularly scheduled starts suggests they believe it. If they're right and Archer returns to form, there's simply not another pitcher who can match his upside/value combo on this slate. The Cubs have obviously rectified their issues vs. RHP in the second half of the season, so the matchup isn't great, but the park benefits pitchers pretty significantly, and you just don't often find guys like Archer in the price range you're getting him at on DraftKings. He's entering tonight with a 3.36 FIP and 235 Ks in 186.1 IP this season (11.35 Ks/9). Yu Darvish FD 9300 DK 11400 Opponent - PHI (Nola) Park - @PHI FD - 38.34 DK - 25.21 After a rough stretch of four mediocre starts, Darvish again looked liked the guy the Dodgers thought they were getting in his last time out, and taking on the Phillies, we like his chances to keep it going tonight. He's been a little less than his best self for most of 2017, sitting a tick below 10 Ks/9 for the first time in his career, with a 4.08 ERA and 4.02 FIP -- but that's all reflected in his pricing, especially on FanDuel. The majority of his troubles have come against lefties, who own a .346 wOBA and .198 ISO against him this season. The bad news is he'll have to navigate his way around a few of them tonight, because...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 9/19/17

Posted by on Sep 19, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 3 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 9/19/17 Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NFL or MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Pitcher Max Scherzer FD 10600 DK 12800 Opponent - ATL (Gohara) Park - @ATL FD - 45.34 DK - 29.93 There's no shortage of solid arms on tonight's slate, so if the fact that Scherzer is coming off a pair of shaky outings worries you -- including a rough one last week against these same Braves -- so be it. You've got other options. But the projection system thinks we'd be silly to shy away from the guy who's been one of the best pitchers in the game in recent years, and I tend to agree. Scherzer still ranks in the top five this season in ERA, FIP and Ks/9 this season, so the fact that he let his last start get away from him with four walks in the seventh inning is more than likely just an aberration. Meanwhile, the Braves remain a bottom-tier lineup. They rank 26th in wRC+ and 28th in team ISO vs. RHP this season, so the odds of them roughing up Scherzer for a second time are long. Don't believe us? Check with Vegas, where the Nats have opened up as a -215 favorite. Zack Godley FD 9600 DK 11100 Opponent - SD (Wood) Park - @SD FD - 38.15 DK - 25.1 Scherzer's our guy on FanDuel where he's coming about $1K cheaper than what he usually costs, but if you wanted to save a little bit on DraftKings, there's an argument to be made for Godley. He's nowhere near the established commodity Scherzer is, but in 2017, he's been pretty studly. He enters his 24th start of the season with a 3.00 ERA that's supported by a 3.30 FIP and 9.5 Ks/9 with a 55% ground ball rate. That's a nice mix, and it's all the more impressive when you consider that his home park is one of baseball's best offensive environments. He'll be moving to the other end of the park factor spectrum tonight, and while Petco isn't quite the offense killer it used to be, it still favors pitchers heavily. And speaking of pitcher-friendly variables, how about this Padres offense? Despite some unforeseen solid individual seasons (anybody ever heard of Jose Pirela before this year?), they still rank 28th in wRC+ and...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings – 9/18/17

Posted by on Sep 18, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 0 comments

Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 9/18/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NFL or MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. OAKLAND ATHLETICS Comerica Park is nobody's idea of a hitter's park -- but if there's one exception, it might be Buck Farmer. The Tigers starter has been free and easy with the long balls this season, especially at home, where he's yielding 3.14 per 9 IP. That number is probably out of whack; a 25% HR:FB ratio is begging for regression, but as long as Farmer is giving up 44% hard contact it might not come anytime soon. Meanwhile, the A's have (somehow) been one of the best offenses in baseball in the second half of the season, ranking 3rd in wRC+ and second in ISO since the All-Star break. That latter number is especially impressive given that about half their games have been played in one of the worst hitter's park in baseball. By comparison, Comerica looks like a pretty great place to hit. They've got four guys in the lineup with an ISO north of .260 vs. RHP this season (Joyce, Davis, Olson, Chapman), and Jed Lowrie continues to do solid work with a .352 wOBA and .181 ISO. Meanwhile, Farmer has struggled against everybody and we definitely don't have to duck the RvR matchups, as he's giving up a .216 ISO in the split. LOS ANGELES DODGERS In terms of name value, the Dodgers are a way sexier stacking choice, and we do like them against Nick Pivetta in a park that plays small. One word of caution, though: even though the Dodgers have started winning games again, this offense doesn't appear to be fully out of its funk. They struck 10.6 times per game while winning four of their last five, including at least 9 Ks in every game. Still, we'd rather side with the larger-sample data, and that tells us the matchup with Pivetta is a good one. The Dodgers' projected starting lineup has a .364 wOBA and .211 ISO vs. RHP this season, while Pivetta enters with a 6.75 ERA and 4.99 FIP. And while he does miss bats, he's had massive issues vs. righties this season, allowing a .415 wOBA...

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Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings – 9/18/17

Posted by on Sep 18, 2017 in Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks, featured, News | 1 comment

Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 9/18/17 Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here. Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. START YOUR FREE TRIAL NOW! First time with NFL or MLB? Be sure to read our free MLB and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered. Dan Straily FD 6900 DK 7500 Opponent - NYM (Harvey) Park - @MIA FD - 32.46 DK - 21.39 Ugh. It's a short slate, and we really can't see going anywhere other than Kershaw or Patrick Corbin at SP1, so we're going for value guys here, and -- fair warning -- there's just not much to like. Straily has been pretty serviceable for parts of 2017, unfortunately none of those parts have come lately. This probably oversimplifies things, but the pre- and post-All Star break numbers illustrate what I'm talking about. First half: 3.31 ERA, .283 wOBA allowed. Second half: 5.74 ERA, .389 wOBA. I know, it's gross. But there's warts on everybody taking the mound tonight, so we're going to have to go to war with somebody we're not 100 percent comfortable with. And while Straily's recent struggles are problematic, the park/matchup combo is just about as good as you're going to find tonight. Straily relies heavily on fly ball outs, and Marlins Park plays well for that kind of pitcher, ranking second only to AT&T in San Fran for home run suppression. Also, let's not forget the Mets. They're rolling out a Quad-A crew these days, and the expected starters have a .308 wOBA .156 ISO vs. RHP this season. Don't get me wrong, though. I'm not all that confident in Straily, and I'd recommend spreading out your SP2 exposure tonight. But among a bunch of lackluster options, he looks the least bad. Jameson Taillon FD 6500 DK 7100 Opponent - MIL (Suter) Park - @PIT FD - 26.57 DK - 17.69 Taillon's been a tough guy to figure out all year, but the underlying stats say he's been better than you might guess just by looking at that 4.78 ERA. Last week's loss against the Cubs, in which he surrendered 11 hits and six runs in 4.2 IP is a good example, because it was a .524 BABIP that really burned him. BABIP hasn't been the sole culprit for an ERA that's more than a run higher than his 3.48 FIP this season, but it's definitely...

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